Friday, December 5, 2014

West Did Not Leave Russia Options For Compromise In Ukraine.


Time concessions ended



West did not leave Russia options for compromise in Ukraine.

From the beginning of unrest in the South-East of Ukraine Russian society was divided into two camps. Those who supported the idea of the "Russian world" and those who thought it appropriate to retain a unified Ukraine as a friendly or at least neutral federal state. The second point of view, of course, was more pragmatic, and it is adhered to the Kremlin recently. Of course, hesitation, and occasionally giving way to "nationalists" for two reasons. 

The first - not to give up domestic discontent "New Russia sink." The second - to put pressure on opponents. All the while, in fact, was a tacit bargaining for the future of Ukraine, during which the Kremlin tried not to take radical steps, leaving a path of retreat. In other words, trying to balance the expectation that the enemy runs out or the desire to spend effort and money on a useless war that threatens serious negative consequences for him, or have nerves. It seems that this moment has arrived.

Why do they cling to the Ukraine?  Russia's intention is clear - the loss of Ukraine as saying all our geopolitical enemies throughout history, would be a disaster for us. NATO missiles in Kharkiv and the American fleet in Crimea leave little chance of a hypothetical back. For the US defeat in Ukraine is also terrible: in fact it will be the end of American hegemony, the end of a unipolar world. After vain Western propagandists are trying to convince us that for them, and consequently against us - the whole world! That's not it. The whole world is just waiting for fear of making the wrong bet. Sometimes people ask why so few allies Russia and the West are so many. 

The answer is simple: the allies are in how strong they are, no one wants to be friends with the weak. Russia was the first in the world, not only ventured to contradict the US, but also challenged their dominance. The world held its breath. And the fact that not all support the self-proclaimed "progressive world community" demonstrates at least the recent vote on the resolution against Nazism in the United Nations. A brief excursion into history. Why the West intervened in numerous conflicts in the post-Soviet space (unlike Yugoslavia) early 90's, allowing Russia to become their sole moderator? 

Yes, because if it is too strong was the euphoria of the collapse of the Soviet Union and the Eastern Bloc. Soviet space left Russia on the one hand, as a "consolation prize", and on the other - have not seen her in a serious source of threat. Many of our politicians believe that the West was satisfied, and leave everything as is. But these "comrades" must have forgotten the laws of Marxist science, according to which imperialism will stop only when "devour" everything in its path. Well, the simple law of the street: the weak get beaten. Our endless concessions given to the West to understand that ceremony with Russia makes no sense. 

NATO moved closer to Russia's borders, spit on their own promises (recently reaching in its cynicism to claims that it is, they say, do not they, and Russia closer to them). In countries that consider the impact of our area, there have been anti-Russian color revolutions. Ukraine was the last straw. Next in line was Russia itself with its subsequent dismemberment and deprivation of energy, which in the West is always jealous, thinking that they got us unfairly. The first cold shower for them was Moscow's recognition of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Yes, it was done internally, yeah, it was only a response to recognition of Kosovo and the American adventure, exercise hands Saakashvili. But it was the first bell to the West. 

However, we then "simple", in any case, Europe, in which common sense has prevailed, despite the US itself has decided that is beneficial and what is not. "Propaganda of the Kremlin during the crisis had its effect on the Europeans," - said at a recent anti-Russian Conference " how to deal with Russia? "in the European Parliament. According to the speaker, the same "Nord Stream" and benefit from it eclipsed eyes German industrialist, despite the anxiety, which has long been sounding the countries of Eastern Europe. 

Why this time Europe has neglected their economic interests? Bending under the US? "We, see as a sleeping beauty, long stay in a sweet dream, feeling prosperous, serene, and woke up to see that the world has changed around and there is a war" - quote from one of the speakers referred to the conference. 

Let's go back to America. Washington could not tolerate much as endured the recognition of South Ossetia and Abkhazia - in the end, it was only a symmetrical response and forced response. Had he lost his temper, if we just recognize Crimea as an independent state, even breaking the American dream of basing their fleet there. 

But joining the Crimea was not a forced response, and progress all in, destroying not only the balance of forces on the playing field, but also the rules themselves game. Moscow has violated the "taboo". On such attack America would respond. And appropriate response to them is only a change of power in Russia. This is at least as well as a maximum - its dismemberment. See what writes senior researcher Cato Institute Andrei Illarionov. Like, if Russia does not "come to its senses" and will not leave Ukraine in the rest (giving Crimea), it is waiting for the collapse of the economy, the revolution and the occupation of the transfer of nuclear weapons and energy under international control. 

"Next would be the Pytalovsky area of the Pskov region depart Latvia, Kingisepp district of Leningrad region - Estonia, north of the Karelian Isthmus, Ladoga Karelia, Pechenga - Finland, Kaliningrad region (East Prussia) - Germany, Smolensk and Bryansk region - Belarus, Belgorod, Kursk, Voronezh and Rostov Krasnodar regions - Ukraine steppe Omsk - Kazakhstan, at least 1.5 million square kilometers of Siberia and the Far East - China, the Kuril Islands and Sakhalin - Japan. " (Quoted by LJ Putin's former advisor). 

Illarionov calculations, of course, look to this madness, but, in my opinion, the United States made ​​it clear that anything less than a change of regime in Moscow, they will no longer agree that Putin has been demonstrated in Brisbane. Recently George Soros in an interview with the German magazine Cicero stated one thing that explains why Europe suddenly awoke from his "sweet dream": War in the Ukraine is a war for the future of Europe. If the West loses the Ukraine, he will lose Europe, as she will lose the leadership, and Russia, on the contrary - will strengthen its Eurasian project, whereby former Eastern Bloc countries, which do not change in the first orientation, reoriented to a new leader, and the European Union will simply cease to exist. 

In other words, Europe has no choice but how to win in Ukraine. Of course, the Ukrainian arms cannon fodder, but on the European money. Of course, it is necessary to understand that it is Soros, and he defends the purely American position, according to which: a) if you can not win somewhere, there must be a constant sow chaos in order to prevent defeat an opponent, b) it must be carried out not by American hands and not at the expense of the US. 

But it is worth considering. In Europe, realized long ago that got in there, where you do not have to (although this was dictated by the logic of capitalism, the search for new markets to replace the already worn out), and that they are much less likely to get away with than that started all this porridge America. But they also realize that mangled wood so that no turning back. Especially that even if we imagine the possibility of returning to the "zero option", "it would still be a victory for Russia and the recognition of the collapse of the European strategy. 

So, to retreat does not intend neither the West nor Russia, as demonstrated by Putin in his speech Valdai, and then demonstrative doors slamming in Australia. It is often in recent conversations that we step away from the Cold War, and how we can prevent it. Wake up! She is already underway. And, by and large, do not stop, except that in the 90s in a state of severe frosts due to the lack of Russia as a party to the conflict. But like any frozen conflict, the war of the West against Russia sooner or later had to be thawed. This did not happen immediately. It happened gradually, step by step, when the West is forcing us to take steps that can be regarded as a response "combat" action. 

And when they finally after the Crimea and defiantly made ​​a bet on the destruction of Russia (and the destruction of power in Russia, especially with the help of outside influence - it is the destruction of the state, as it was in the 17 th and 91 th year), a veil of unbelief in the reality of a new Cold War had finally dissipated. 

The war in Ukraine - it is a war for the future of Europe, Russia, and all over the world. Moscow has repeatedly tried to negotiate with the West about the future of Ukraine, its compromise option. We were bargaining six months, the price of which has already claimed thousands of lives, destroyed infrastructure of the whole region, millions maimed destinies. But any compromise the West was seen as a defeat. 

Therefore, the time trade-offs now passed. The illusions of neutral federated Ukraine finally buried, as well as the illusion of the Ukrainian statehood. No, it does not mean that the country would lose her completely. It only means that we are waiting for a complete rebuild of Ukraine.From scratch. The question is, how it all ends?

Dmitry Rodionov

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